This is aftermath how well the predictions in my Computer technologies for 2012 went. The following predictions were right:
ARM processor becomes more and more popular during year 2012.
The rivalry between ARM and Intel in this arena is predictably intense
Windows 8 Release Expected in 2012 article says that Windows 8 will be with us in 2012
Consumerization of IT is a hot trend that continues at year 2012. Uh-oh, PC: Half of computing device sales are mobile. Mobile App Usage Further Dominates Web, Spurred by Facebook
The Cloud is Not Just for Techies Anymore tells that cloud computing achieves mainstream status.
Companies large and small are using the cloud to conduct business and store critical information. The cloud is now mainstream.
Flurry estimates that the cumulative number of iOS and Android devices activated will surge past 1 billion, making the rate of iOS and Android smart device adoption more than four times faster than that of personal computers (over 800 million PCs were sold between 1981 and 2000).
Harder to judge cases:
Mobile UIs: It’s developers vs. users article tells that increased emphasis on distinctive smartphone UIs means even more headaches for cross-platform mobile developers. Whose UI will be a winner? Native apps trump the mobile Web.The increased emphasis on specialized mobile user interface guidelines casts new light on the debate over Web apps versus native development, too.
+- App developer headaches have continued. No clear UI winner. Debate between native and web apps have been going on without clear answer that one of them was winning.
Enterprise IT’s power shift threatens server-huggers article tells that as more developers take on the task of building, deploying, and running applications on infrastructure outsourced to Amazon and others, traditional roles of system administration and IT operations will morph considerably or evaporate.
+- Change is still going on this year as well… Process takes time.
Explosion in “Big Data” Causing Data Center Crunch article tells that global business has been caught off-guard by the recent explosion in data volumes and is trying to cope with short-term fixes such as buying in data centre capacity.
?? “Big Data” is talked a lot and explosion in data volumes is real. How different companies try to cope with it vary from company to company.
Cloud storage has been very popular topic lately to handle large amount of data storage. The benefits have been told very much, but now we can also see risks of that to realize. Did the Feds Just Kill the Cloud Storage Model? article claims that Megaupload Type Shutdowns and Patriot Act are killing interest to Cloud Storage.
+- Could storage is going strong again after those incidents.
Data centers to cut LAN cord? article mentions that 60GHz wireless links are tested in data centers to ease east-west traffic jams. According to a recent article in The New York Times, data center and networking techies are playing around with 60GHz wireless networking for short-haul links to give rack-to-rack communications some extra bandwidth for when the east-west traffic goes a bit wild.
- 60GHz wireless links were talked about how much really used? I think that not very much. In year 2013 60GHz wireless links outside data centers will start to get used.
Windows-on-ARM Spells End of Wintel article tells that Brokerage house Nomura Equity Research forecasts that the emerging partnership between Microsoft and ARM will likely end the Windows-Intel duopoly.
- Windows-Intel duopoly has not been killed yet, but it’s getting weaker when we enter post-PC era.