I am living in the middle of the emergency over coronavirus in Finland. Due this reason the update cycle to make posting to this blog could be slowed down.
The Finnish government announced on Monday nationwide school closures in order to help prevent the spread of coronavirus. Read more on the following aricles:
Finland closes schools, declares state of emergency over coronavirus
https://yle.fi/uutiset/osasto/news/finland_closes_schools_declares_state_of_emergency_over_coronavirus/11260062
Daycare centres are to stay open but parents were asked to keep their kids home if possible. The government also published a 19-point list of emergency legislation that takes effect on 18 March.
Coronavirus latest: 359 cases confirmed in Finland, S-Group shuts its Helsinki eateries, bankruptcy fears mount
https://yle.fi/uutiset/osasto/news/coronavirus_latest_359_cases_confirmed_in_finland_s-group_shuts_its_helsinki_eateries_bankruptcy_fears_mount/11249610
Here is a link to an earlier post related to Coronavirus:
https://www.epanorama.net/blog/2020/02/12/mobile-trends-2020-mwc-canceled/
1,657 Comments
Tomi Engdahl says:
Suomen suojamaskikatastrofi nousi otsikoihin ulkomailla https://www.is.fi/kotimaa/art-2000006469313.html
Tomi Engdahl says:
Kommentti: Tämä on täysi skandaali – sairaalat jäivät ilman kahta miljoonaa suojamaskia https://www.is.fi/kotimaa/art-2000006468821.html
Tomi Engdahl says:
SK: Valtion hengityssuojainkauppaan kietoutuu melkoinen soppa – kauneusyrittäjä Tiina Jylhä riitelee miljoonakaupasta ulosottovelkaisen liikemiehen kanssa
https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-11299604
Jylhä sanoo liikemies Onni Sarmasteen ilmoittaneen Huoltovarmuuskeskukselle väärän tilinumeron.
Tomi Engdahl says:
“The Whole World’s F**ked!” – Raoul Pal Pulls No Punches In Latest Interview
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/whole-worlds-fked-raoul-pal-pulls-no-punches-latest-interview
Tomi Engdahl says:
COVID-19: Economic and Microelectronics Industry Impacts – Insights from McKinsey & Company
https://blog.semi.org/technology-trends/covid-19-economic-and-microelectronics-industry-impacts-insights-from-mckinsey-company
For five days in the latter half of March, the pall of the heavy human and economic toll COVID-19 has exacted in China appeared to be lifting. The epicenter of Wuhan reported no new coronavirus infections through domestic transmission. And in an initial step to loosen its nationwide lockdown, China began reversing restrictions on travel within its borders.
Now, in another sign of progress, the region’s idled factory workforce is preparing to return to the production lines. Outside of Hubei province, home to Wuhan, most manufacturing workers are expected to be back on the job by the end of this month
McKinsey is also “seeing evidence of a rebound in demand led by China’s online sales” as rising consumer confidence and a surge in the popularity of work-from-home policies spur strong spending on laptop computers, Chenneveau said.
The turnaround stands in stark contrast to the unprecedented drop in demand McKinsey saw across retail and durable goods in China early in the year. Over the first two months, passenger car sales plunged 90 percent, smart phone receipts 40 percent and retail sales 21 percent, leading to what Chenneveau calls a whiplash effect that could disrupt supply chains as manufacturers and shipping companies scramble to meet pent-up demand once a recovery takes hold.
And while China is buoyed by the prospect of normalizing its workforce and manufacturing capabilities, parts shortages are bottlenecking production. In the United States and Europe, where 60 percent of air freight is carried in cargo holds of passenger aircraft, logistics concerns loom large with the widespread flight groundings.
“Logistics must be a priority in any crisis war room because it’s a big challenge,”
In Asia, the semiconductor supply chain is working to overcome intractable challenges caused by COVID-19 including sourcing raw materials for chip manufacturing and maintaining assembly and test operations
a shortage of fab operators and engineers. Downstream, the inability to package, test and qualify products risks exacerbating the supply constraints.
Patel said another acute challenge is that most semiconductor manufacturers and suppliers are operating under restricted practices, making it harder to sustain engineering activities vital to new product introductions, new process development and capital equipment expansion. In the longer term, the supply chain fallout hold implications for product life cycles and investments in capacity and next-generation technology – factors that analysts will need to monitor in evaluating the economic impact.
Returning Workers Key to Economic Recovery
Issuing shelter-in-place orders have been an effective antidote to the spread of COVID-19 but a double-edged sword as nations worldwide sustain the economic blowback. Discretionary consumer spending on items such as automobiles has dropped by 45 percent globally so far this year, business investment has fallen and trade has seen a sharp slowdown, said Sven Smit, Chairman and Director at the McKinsey Global Institute, speaking at the webinar.
A lockdown for as little as a month can slash aggregate global GDP by as much as 10 percent, a scenario McKinsey expects to play out in the second quarter of 2020. The drop would be the deepest since World War II and larger than the plunge in the first quarter of the Great Depression, raising the question of how long governments can afford to keep workers holed up at home.
“The economic shock is unprecedented,” Smit said. “We’ve never sent people home to not work. Even in World War II, next to the front lines, people were harvesting food.”
China offers a potential blueprint for economic recovery. McKinsey estimates that China’s rigorous containment efforts could help its economy bounce back in as little as six months – a V-shaped rebound. Western nations generally have not been as forceful with their containment measures. For them, the fight against the pathogen could be prolonged, deepening the economic damage.
Yet even with the best protective lockdowns, a new challenge arises: The longer shelter-in-place orders remain in effect to contain the spread of the virus, the longer the economic impact drags on. “Until the path to return to work becomes clearer, people will not be confident to spend,” Smit said.
Confronted with that reality, governments worldwide must strike the delicate balance between safeguarding the lives of people – critical forces of economic growth through consumer spending – and limiting the economic shock. The faster the virus can be brought to heel, the softer the impact to economies around the world. And the stronger the return-to-work protocols in place once COVID-19 has been brought under control, the faster workers can get back to their jobs. Smit believes resolving both issues simultaneously is not only possible but necessary for a return to normalcy.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Rare coronavirus patient’s mild symptoms but long illness may point to ‘chronic’ mutation: researchers
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3077747/rare-coronavirus-patients-mild-symptoms-long-illness-may-point
Chinese researchers observe rare case of a potential ‘chronic infected patient’, pointing to the possibility of a virus mutation.
Chinese researchers have raised the possibility that a new subtype pathogen of Covid-19 that has low toxicity but with prolonged ability to infect others might have occurred after observing a rare case in which the disease appeared to be “chronic”, pointing to the possibility of a mutation.
The researchers warn there may be more “chronic infected patients” who carry the infection into their surroundings and trigger an outbreak.
A middle-aged man whose symptoms were not severe appears to have formed a “dynamic balance” with the coronavirus after an extremely prolonged illness lasting 49 days, Chinese military researchers reported in a preprint article on Medrxiv.org last week.
The patient had been observed to have both a high Covid-19 viral load and, at the same time, his immune cell indicators had remained stable.
“The virus and the host may even form a symbiotic relationship,”
As the signs showed that his body could not eliminate the coronavirus with regular therapy and that he might still have been infectious, the patient was treated with a plasma transfusion from recovered Covid-19 patients.
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.genano.com/fi/tietopankki/puhdas-sisailma-pienentaa-koronaviruksen-riskia?utm_campaign=IAQ%20Campaign%20FI&utm_content=124536432&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&hss_channel=fbp-592643817898892&hsa_acc=214079284&hsa_cam=6160194966494&hsa_grp=6160194966894&hsa_ad=6160194967694&hsa_src=fb&hsa_net=facebook&hsa_ver=3
Tomi Engdahl says:
Koronavirus leviää kaksi kertaa luultua nopeammin – Amerikkalaistutkimus: Yksi ihminen voi tartuttaa keskimäärin kuusi muuta ihmistä
https://tekniikanmaailma.fi/koronavirus-leviaa-kaksi-kertaa-luultua-nopeammin-amerikkalaistutkimus-yksi-ihminen-voi-tartuttaa-keskimaarin-kuusi-muuta-ihmista/
SARS-CoV-2-koronavirusta kantava henkilö saattaa tartuttaa keskimäärin jopa lähes 6 muuta ihmistä, ei 2-3, kuten aiemmin on luultu, todetaan Yhdysvaltain tautikeskus CDC:n tuoreessa tutkimuksessa, jossa on analysoitu koronaviruksen leviämistä sen alkupisteessä Wuhanissa, Kiinassa. Aiheesta kirjoittaa muun muassa uutistoimisto Bloomberg.
Virus May Spread Twice as Fast as Earlier Thought, Study Says
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-08/virus-may-spread-twice-as-fast-as-earlier-thought-study-says
Each person infected early in the epidemic in Wuhan probably passed the virus to an average of 5.7 other people, according to a mathematical analysis from Los Alamos National Laboratory. That’s more than twice what the World Health Organization and other public health authorities reported in February.
The team’s results are specific to the Chinese outbreak. If they hold true elsewhere in the world, the pandemic may be more difficult to control than some authorities had modeled.
At the rate of spread calculated in the study, some 82% of the population would need to be immune, either via a vaccine or because they’d already had the disease, in order to stop the virus from spreading,
Nearly 1.5 million people have tested positive globally, including a number of recent cases in China with none of the typical symptoms of Covid-19.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Tyksin asiantuntijat ennustavat koronaviruksen toista aaltoa syksylle – nämä asiat huolestuttavat: ”On jo todella kova kiire” https://www.is.fi/turun-seutu/art-2000006467734.html
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://theloadstar.com/idle-containership-fleet-set-to-hit-record-high-of-three-million-teu/
Idled containership capacity is expected to reach a record high of 3m teu within weeks, in the “worst capacity crisis the industry has ever seen”, according to new data from Alphaliner.
With over 250 sailings already withdrawn in the second quarter, the consultant forecasts that the lay-ups will push the idle fleet to a level twice that seen during the 2009 global financial crisis.
“No market segment will be spared, with capacity cuts announced across almost all key routes,” warned Alphaliner.
the global coronavirus crisis has brought a sudden end to the good times for owners in the sector.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Just How Bad Is It Going To Get: JPMorgan Halts All Non-Government Guaranteed Small Business Loans
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/just-how-bad-it-going-get-jpmorgan-halts-all-non-government-guaranteed-small-business
With America’s small and medium businesses suffering from cardiac arrest now that the economy is in a indefinite coma, it is hardly a surprise that the largest US bank, JPMorgan Chase has been inundated with more than 375,000 requests for $40bn of loans under the $350bn small business rescue scheme, a higher number of applications than any other bank, its consumer head Gordon Smith told President Donald Trump on Tuesday.
It is in this context that the FT reports that Chase has temporarily stopped accepting applications for small business loans outside the government’s Paycheck Protection Program.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Free Markets Are Dead: Fed To Start Buying Junk Bonds, High Yield ETFs
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/free-markets-are-dead-fed-start-buying-junk-bonds-junk-etfs
Back on March 23, when the Fed unveiled it would start buying investment grade corporate bonds, we said “now that the Fed is effectively all in, it will buy stocks and junk bonds next.”
Two weeks later, we were right and this morning the Fed announced it would, as expected, start buying junk bonds
In short, the only asset that the Fed is now not directly buying is stocks, and here too it’s just a matter of time before the Fed unveils it will start buying the SPY.
Tomi Engdahl says:
“Sosiaalinen eristäytyminen ja suusuojaimet täytyy normalisoida arkielämään, sairaat ja epäillyt sairaat tulee eristää ja tauti poistaa kokonaan seuraamalla tartuntoja massatutkimusten avulla.”
Suomalaislääkäri: Koronarajoitusten syytä jatkua kesän yli, pandemia ohi vasta kesällä 2021 – “Suusuojaimet täytyy normalisoida jokaisen arkielämään”
https://www.mtvuutiset.fi/artikkeli/suomalaislaakari-koronarajoitusten-syyta-jatkua-kesan-yli-pandemia-ohi-vasta-kesalla-2021-suusuojaimet-taytyy-normalisoida-jokaisen-arkielamaan/7783518#gs.37rfv8
Oulun yliopistollisen sairaalan ylilääkäri Petri Lehenkari arvioi, että Suomenkin tulisi normalisoida suusuojainten käyttö arkielämään koronavirusepidemian hillitsemiseksi.
Hänen mukaansa ainoa tie ulos viruksen aiheuttamasta ensimmäisestä tautiaallosta olisi mahdollisimman täydellinen viruksen leviämisen estäminen.
Tie ulos COVID-kriisistä
https://www.oulu.fi/ltk/tie-ulos-covid-kriisist%C3%A4
COVID-kriisi edellyttää, että kaikki ihmiset sairastavat jossain vaiheessa viruksen aiheuttaman sairauden. Suuren kuolleisuuden vuoksi sairastamisen suurina joukkoina voidaan sallia tapahtuvan vasta, kun kunnollinen rokotesuoja on saatu kattavasti väestöille ja varautuminen sairaalahoidossa riittäväksi.
Ensivaiheessa tauti täytyy saada kokonaan pysäytettyä.
Sosiaalinen eristäytyminen ja suusuojaimet täytyy normalisoida arkielämään, sairaat ja epäillyt sairaat tulee eristää ja tauti poistaa kokonaan seuraamalla tartuntoja massatutkimusten avulla. Näin voidaan ostaa aikaa, ja laumasuojan vaativa sairastaminen voi alkaa vasta, kun rokotesuoja saadaan vähintään riskiryhmille.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Viimeisenä, mutta ei vähäisimpänä toimenpiteenä tulisi meidän kaikkien alkaa nyt käyttää kasvosuojaimia. Virus käytännössä leviää ylähengitysteiden kautta joko kosketuksien tai pisaroiden välityksellä. Molemmat voidaan lopettaa käyttämällä mitä tahansa kasvosuojainta. Suojain suojelee erityisesti muita, ei meitä itseämme. Haastan kaikki, joilla on ompelukone tekemään erilaisia suojaimia, ohjeita löytyy netistä valtavasti. Eri vahvuisilla kankailla voidaan vaikuttaa ilmanvirtauksen määrään. Suojaimeksi käy putkilo, lappu, mikä tahansa järjestely, jolla pisarointi ja sierainten ja suun koskettelu estetään. Visiiri on yksi keino, tosin kömpelö. Voisivatko opettajat tehdä tästä käsityöprojektin ja mummot ja äidit ja ompelukonetaitoiset isät ja muutkin tyypit ottaa ompelukoneet kaapista?
https://www.oulu.fi/ltk/tie-ulos-covid-kriisist%C3%A4
Tomi Engdahl says:
Coronavirus: low antibody levels raise questions about reinfection risk
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3078840/coronavirus-low-antibody-levels-raise-questions-about
Scientists in Shanghai say some recovered patients show no signs of the neutralising proteins.
Researchers in Shanghai hope to determine whether some recovered coronavirus patients have a higher risk of reinfection after finding surprisingly low levels of Covid-19 antibodies in a number of people discharged from hospital.
Tomi Engdahl says:
U.S. Recession Model at 100% Confirms Downturn Is Already Here
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/
The novel coronavirus has spurred what will likely be the worst recession in generations as the U.S. economy grinds to a halt and millions lose their jobs.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Euroryhmä saavutti sovun 500 miljardin euron kriisipaketista – Kulmuni: ”Jokaisella maalla on vastuu omasta taloudesta” https://www.is.fi/taloussanomat/art-2000006470935.html
Tomi Engdahl says:
Tässä ovat Suomen 9 tietä ulos koronakriisistä – IS selvitti vaihtoehdot https://www.is.fi/taloussanomat/art-2000006468981.html
Tomi Engdahl says:
Himalaja näkyy nyt ensi kertaa 30 vuoteen Intiassa – ilmansaasteiden määrä romahti koronan takia
https://www.iltalehti.fi/koronavirus/a/657e300e-a4c0-4c81-8814-ef1a2520115e?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1586429777
llma on kirkastunut, koska tehtaiden ja liikenteen taivaalle sylkemä saastemäärä on vähentynyt. Intiassa on suljettu useita tehtaita ja rajoitettu liikennettä koronavirusepidemian takia.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Container shipping lines cancel hundreds of sailings to stem losses as Covid-19 pandemic hits global trade
https://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/3079234/container-shipping-lines-cancel-hundreds-sailings-stem-losses?fbclid=IwAR18l_M9QTN7s-VDvx0AXdg1m2dIDP2JM9HlttKAYijf-oF1obpX22hpu3w
The number of blanked sailings jumped last week from 45 to 212, with the largest withdrawal of capacity on Asia-Europe routes, according to Sea-Intelligence.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Saksan koronapesäkkeestä kerätään tarkkaa tietoa – “Ei näytä tarttuvan ovenkahvoista, seteleistä tai kauppojen ostoskärryistä”
https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-11301104?utm_source=facebook&utm_campaign=yleuutiset&utm_medium=social
Saksan koronaepidemian uskotaan alkaneen Heinsbergissä pidetystä karnevaalista.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Pollution Recedes Amid Lockdown, And A View Of The Himalayas Emerges For The First Time In 30 Years
https://www.forbes.com/sites/marleycoyne/2020/04/09/pollution-recedes-amid-lockdown-and-a-view-of-the-himalayas-emerges-for-the-first-time-in-30-years/?utm_campaign=forbes&utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social&utm_term=Gordie/#676f7264696
Tomi Engdahl says:
Japan Ditches China In Multi-Billion Dollar Coronavirus Shakeout
https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2020/04/09/japan-ditches-china-in-multi-billion-dollar-coronavirus-shakeout/?utm_campaign=forbes&utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social&utm_term=Valerie/#76616c657269
The supply chain will never be the same. Take that to the bank.
It’s not Donald “Tariff Man” Trump’s fault anymore. It’s the new SARS coronavirus’ fault for shaking things up. On Thursday, geopolitical watchdogs at The Spectator Index noted that Japan’s government would spend upwards of $2 billion helping its multinationals leave China.
JAPAN: Government to spend over $2 billion to help its country’s firms move production out of China
Japan’s decision to help company’s source elsewhere, a timely and expensive endeavour after multinational corporations that have made China their go-to manufacturing hub for decades, comes at a time when U.S. companies are leaving, too, even though there is no official push to do so.
“People have been talking about leaving China for many years now and that is why we started this research in the first place, to find real data, to get the math right on this,” says Patrick Van den Bossche, a partner at Kearney. “What we are seeing now is that companies are taking a hard look at it. Because of the pandemic and supply chain disruptions it caused, people will be able to put a number to this and when they can present their board with a nice mathematical equation about supply risk, they’ll do it and many will see that they must diversify away from China.”
Within the existing globalization framework, the question of dependence on supply chains from China for both European and U.S. companies needs to be addressed.
“China will be a loser in that respect,” she says. “I think it will be a good thing for the world economy. But it is bad news for China. They will need more internal demand.”
Tomi Engdahl says:
There are more than 160 variations of the Coronavirus Covid-19, according to this recently published genomics paper.
https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/early/2020/04/07/2004999117/F1.large.jpg?width=800&height=600&carousel=1
Tomi Engdahl says:
Metrin tai kahden turvaväli ei riitä suojaamaan ulkoilijaa, ja vaarallisinta on juosta jonkun toisen vanavedessä, selvisi tutkimuksessa – Tulos on uskottava, sanoo suomalaistutkija
https://www.hs.fi/hyvinvointi/art-2000006471697.html?share=1c878c102340fe32f780fa4426f614b6
Belgialais-hollantilaisen tutkimuksen tekijät suosittelevat, että turvavälin tulisi olla vähintään 4–5 metriä, jos ihmiset kävelevät jonossa samaan suuntaan. ”Missään tapauksessa en juokse kenenkään takana”, sanoo myös Aalto-yliopiston apulaisprofessori Ville Vuorinen.
MONIEN maiden viranomaisten, myös Suomen Terveyden ja hyvinvoinnin laitoksen, suosittelema 1–2 metrin turvaväli ulkona kävellessä, juostessa tai pyöräillessä ei riitä ehkäisemään koronaviruksen tarttumista, toteaa uusi vertaisarvioimaton belgialais-hollantilainen tutkimus.
Tutkimuksen mukaan vaarallisin on tilanne, jossa henkilö juoksee tai pyöräilee toisen perässä. Hiukkaset nimittäin liikkuvat kaikkein tehokkaimmin edellä kulkevan vanavedessä.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Drones Take Italians’ Temperature and Issue Fines
https://www.securityweek.com/drones-take-italians-temperature-and-issue-fines
The hovering drone emits a mechanical buzz reminiscent of a wasp and shouts down instructions in a tinny voice.
“Attention! You are in a prohibited area. Get out immediately,” commands the drone, about the size of a loaf of bread.
A heat sensor takes the offender’s temperature and sends the information to a drone operator, who stares at a thermal map on his hand-held screen — shining orange and purple blobs.
“Violations of the regulations result in administrative and criminal penalties,” the drone says.
Italy’s coronavirus epicentre in the northern province of Bergamo, in Lombardy region, has had enough of people spreading COVID-19.
“Once a person’s temperature is read by the drone, you must still stop that person and measure their temperature with a normal thermometer,” Matteo Copia, police commander in Treviolo, near Bergamo, told AFP.
“But drones are useful for controlling the territory.”
One in 1,000 dead
Italy was the first Western democracy to enter a national lockdown in the face of a disease that has officially killed more than 18,000 in the Mediterranean country and nearly 100,000 worldwide.
It is now one of several European nations using police drones to an extent that would have seemed unimaginable — and almost certainly unacceptable — just a month ago.
Drones keep people off Paris’s river quays and monitor water consumption in Spain.
In Italy, they try to figure out who has COVID-19.
The official death toll in Lombardy, an industrial area of 10 million people, stood at 10,022 early on Friday — meaning one in 1,000 people have died of the disease in a matter of weeks.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Festarikesä peruttu? Professori ehdottaa tiukempia rajoituksia Suomeen: ”Tästä tulee pitkä piina, jos emme pysty radikaalimpaan”
https://www.iltalehti.fi/koronavirus/a/6b69b38b-5c27-4167-ac63-714890f7599b
Professori Lasse Lehtonen ehdottaa Suomeen Saksan malliin kasvosuojainpakkoa, ulkonaliikkumiskieltoa ja kokoontumisten rajoittamista kahteen ihmiseen.
Professori Lasse Lehtonen sanoo Iltalehden haastattelussa suoraan, että esimerkiksi kesän festivaalien ja muiden yleisötapahtumien toteutuminen on hyvin epätodennäköistä. Tai jos ne toteutuvatkin, ne ovat valtava terveysriski siihen, että tartunnat lähtevät uudelleen liikkeelle.
– Pahoin pelkään, että isot joukkokokoontumiset sallitaan viimeiseksi, kun rajoituksia puretaan. Tyypillisesti ne tulevat ensimmäisenä ja lähtevät viimeisenä, kun rajoituksia tehdään. Kyllä se aika epätodennäköistä on, että festareita kesällä juhlitaan.
Lehtonen sanoo, että vaikka uudet tartuntatapaukset kääntyisivätkin laskuun, väestössä on todennäköisesti viruksen kantajia.
– Testaus ja jäljitys pitäisi saada tehokkaaksi. Voi olla, että ensi kesään mennessä ei ole niin takuuvarmaa systeemiä, että uskaltaisimme päästää tuhansia tai kymmeniätuhansia ihmisiä toistensa lähietäisyydelle. Siinä helposti käy niin, että yksi onneton tartuttaa kymmeniä muita.
– Tästä tulee pitkä piina, jos emme pysty tekemään jotain radikaalimpaa, hän sanoo
Kaksi huonoa vaihtoehtoa
– Haastehan on juuri se, että epidemia ei pysähdy, vaan etenee, mutta hitaasti
Vaihtoehtoja on kaksi, joista pitäisi valita vähemmän huono. Ensimmäinen on jatkaa nykyisillä rajoitteilla testauskapasiteettia ja tartuntaketjujen jäljittämistä tehostaen. Lehtosen mukaan se voi onnistua, mutta se vaatii merkittävää uudelleenorganisointia sekä resurssointeja ja vie paljon aikaa. Hän itse valitsisi toisen tien.
– Että tekisimme kohdennettuja täsmäiskuja esimerkiksi Uudenmaan alueella, missä meillä on kaksi kolmesta maan potilaasta. Tiukentaisimme rajoituksia niin, että antaisimme epidemian palaa loppuun kolmen viikon ajan tiukennetuilla tapaamisrajoituksilla.
Niin minkälaisia tiukennuksia? Lehtonen sanoo, että Saksa on onnistunut koronaviruksen torjunnassa hyvin. Saksa on ottanut käyttöön temppuja kuten kokoontumisten rajoittamisen kahteen ihmiseen ja ulkona liikkumisen rajoittamisen. Itävallassa velvoitetaan kasvomaskien käyttöön, mitä Saksassakin harkitaan edellytyksenä rajoitusten lieventämiselle.
– Ehdottaisin melkein, että Uudellemaalle tuotaisiin vähintään Saksan tason rajoitukset käyttöön kolmen viikon ajaksi.
Sallituksi välttämättömäksi asioinniksi Lehtonen mainitsee kaupassa ja apteekissa käynnin. Kasvosuojaimien käyttöä hän perustelee sillä, että yhteiskunnan kannalta kriittisesti tärkeillä aloilla työskentelevät ihmiset kuten sairaalatyöntekijät joutuvat kuitenkin menemään töihin. Heidän joukossaan on väistämättä tartunnan kantajia. Kasvosuojaimilla tartuntaketjut voisi saada poikki.
Terveyden ja hyvinvoinnin laitos sekä Lasse Lehtonen arvioivat, että Uudellamaalla huippu sijoittuu toukokuun ja kesäkuun vaihteeseen.
– Kun muu maa tulee noin kuukauden Uuttamaata jäljessä, se merkkaa sitä, että muualla maassa huippu voi olla vasta kesäkuun ja heinäkuun vaihteessa.
Usein taudin hoitaminen kestää 4–6 viikkoa. Silloin potilasmäärät olisivat suurimmillaan kesä-heinäkuussa.
Lehtonen valitsisi mieluummin lyhyemmän aikavälin tiukat rajoitukset kuin uskon siihen, että ihmiset jaksavat kuukausitolkulla pitää yllä vallitsevaa rajoitustilannetta.
Lehtonen nostaa esiin myös suojavälineiden riittämättömyyden. Varastot ovat lyhyet, eikä Suomessa ole tarpeeksi tuotantoa tilanteen hoitamiseen.
– Ennen kuin oma kotimaan tuotanto käynnistyy, pelkään, että menemme aika lailla kädestä suuhun.
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.iltalehti.fi/terveysuutiset/a/22694c8a-e4d0-407c-a5e4-28d00782cab0
Näkökulma: Voit saada sakot yskimisestä – millaista elämämme on, kun koronarajoituksia aletaan purkaa?
Tomi Engdahl says:
Kommentti: Koronan syntipukiksi epäillään muurahaiskäpyä https://www.is.fi/kotimaa/art-2000006470061.html
Tomi Engdahl says:
Näkökulma: Only in Finland: Velkainen pikavippiyrittäjä haukkui ministereitä pelleiksi – sai palkaksi viisi miljoonaa
https://www.iltalehti.fi/koronavirus/a/8bdefabe-53af-4884-bfa7-3ba073e43b3e?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook#Echobox=1586505606
miksi Suomen valtio on tilannut hengityssuojaimia 10 miljoonalla eurolla törkeistä talousrikoksista tuomitulta Tiina Jylhältä ja pahasti ulosottovelkaiselta pikavippiyrittäjältä Onni Sarmasteelta.
https://www.iltalehti.fi/koronavirus/a/24051abf-ebdc-41ef-9590-40006ab363b6
Tomi Engdahl says:
China’s US$1 trillion consumer loan bubble is bursting as army of borrowers flinch under pandemic strain
https://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/3079307/chinas-us1-trillion-consumer-loan-bubble-bursting-army
China’s consumer loans are shrinking at an unprecedented pace, a blow to the government’s strategy of relying on spending to boost growth amid the worst pandemic in a generation.
The nation’s much-vaunted army of consumers are flinching as the coronavirus outbreak closes shops and causes job losses, hurting demand for new credit and ability to service older ones. A wave of delinquencies will test the resilience of Chinese lenders this year, with the economy expected to be at its weakest since the 1976 Cultural Revolution.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Coronavirus conspiracies like that bogus 5G claim are racing across the internet
https://tcrn.ch/2VlF8pA
As the U.S. and much of the world hunkers down to slow the spread of the novel coronavirus, some virus-related conspiracy theories are having a heyday. Specifically, a conspiratorial false claim that 5G technology is linked to COVID-19 gained ground, accelerating from obscurity into the rattled mainstream by way of conspiracy theorists who’d been chattering about 5G conspiracies for years.
While there is scientific consensus around the basic medical realities of COVID-19, researchers are still filling in the gaps on a virus that no one knew existed five months ago. That relative dearth of information opens the way for ideas usually relegated to the internet’s fringes to slip into the broader conversation about the pandemic — a dangerous feature of an unprecedented global health crisis.
“In the current infodemic, we’ve seen conspiracy theories and other forms of misinformation spread across the internet at an unprecedented velocity,” Yonder Chief Innovation Officer Ryan Fox told TechCrunch. He believes that the trend represents the outsized influence of “small groups of hyper passionate individuals” in driving misinformation, like the 5G claims.
Tomi Engdahl says:
IBM Rallies COBOL Engineers to Save Overloaded Unemployment Systems
The company is offering free COBOL training and a forum for COBOL engineers
https://onezero.medium.com/ibm-rallies-cobol-engineers-to-save-overloaded-unemployment-systems-eeadf13eddce
As millions file for unemployment benefits in the United States every week, states’ aging computer systems simply cannot keep up.
States like New Jersey and Connecticut have said they are desperate for programmers who are still familiar with COBOL, a programming language that debuted in 1960 and is still used in critical computer systems like unemployment databases and banks. It’s estimated that COBOL is currently used in 95% of ATMs around the world.
Despite its wide usage, most programmers today are taught newer languages, like C (which is only a few years newer but has had more staying power) or Python
Tomi Engdahl says:
The Day of Reckoning For This Economic Crisis – Mike Maloney
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=E7r7nTVmdLc&feature=share
Download Mike’s best-selling book for free here: https://pages.goldsilver.com/freebook How will the crisis play out? Where do we go from here? Believe it or not, back in 2008 Mike Maloney published a scenario that seems to be unfolding right now. Checks from the government. Taxes refunded. Helicopter currency drops. Central banks trying to kick-start economies. It’s all here, in what he refers to as ‘The Day of Reckoning’.
Tomi Engdahl says:
How a Millennial Prime Minister Is Leading Finland Through Crisis
https://www.vogue.com/article/millennial-prime-minister-leading-finland-through-crisis?fbclid=IwAR1nF5uloSdJrJToNV9yfOR4EyaQR1QNyosJDLdwZM7Itd7V7qSdTOzfpQg
Prime Minister Sanna Marin has declared a state of emergency in Finland.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Deadly coronavirus comes in three variants, researchers find
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3079491/deadly-coronavirus-comes-three-variants-researchers-find
Types A, B and C are all derived from the pathogen first found in bats but have evolved in different ways, according to a report by British and German geneticists.
Tomi Engdahl says:
I really don’t get this: People believe earth is flat, they believe mobile networks can spread virus to people, they believe the coronavirus is a device that allows the government to spy and control people, etc.
It’s like, there are smart people who are reasonable, and then there’s people who lack that ability who will believe anything.
Apparently very many people are so poorly educated they believe almost anything they find, and there are many bad actors abusing this.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Covid-tauti pysähtynee vasta rokotteeseen, ja sinne on pitkä ja piinallinen matka
https://www.hs.fi/ulkomaat/art-2000006471994.html
Vuoteen 2021 asti kukin maa ja alue elää omien rajoitustensa, aikataulujensa, pelkojensa ja pelastussuunnitelmiensa komentovallassa. ”Kysymys on siitä, miten päästään rokotteeseen niin, että mahdollisimman harva kuolee”, sanoo tutkijatohtori Tuomas Aivelo.
KEVÄÄLLÄ 2003 tuntui huikealta olla uutisoimassa siitä, kuinka maailmaa säikäyttänyt vaarallinen tauti saatiin hallintaan ja tukahdutettua tiesuluilla, kuumemittareilla, karanteeneilla ja sairaalan eristysosastoilla. Milloinkahan sen jutun pääsee tällä kertaa kirjoittamaan?
Ei pääse, ajattelee moni asiantuntija. Tällä kertaa mennään maaliin asti: tämä tauti pysähtyy vasta rokotteeseen.
Tomi Engdahl says:
The Pandemic Economy: What are Shoppers Buying Online During COVID-19?
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/shoppers-buying-online-ecommerce-covid-19/
Tomi Engdahl says:
Statement about nCoV and our pandemic exercise
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/newsroom/center-news/2020-01-24-Statement-of-Clarification-Event201.html
In October 2019, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security hosted a pandemic tabletop exercise called Event 201 with partners, the World Economic Forum and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
To be clear, the Center for Health Security and partners did not make a prediction during our tabletop exercise. For the scenario, we modeled a fictional coronavirus pandemic, but we explicitly stated that it was not a prediction. Instead, the exercise served to highlight preparedness and response challenges that would likely arise in a very severe pandemic. We are not now predicting that the nCoV-2019 outbreak will kill 65 million people.
Although our tabletop exercise included a mock novel coronavirus, the inputs we used for modeling the potential impact of that fictional virus are not similar to nCoV-2019.
Tomi Engdahl says:
Toiset ovat turvassa kotona, toiset uhraavat terveytensä työssä – mitä koronapandemia paljastaa yhteiskunnan jakolinjoista?
https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-11300673?utm_source=facebook&utm_campaign=yleuutiset&utm_medium=social
Tutkijat löytävät kriisistä muun muassa luokkaeron ja sukupuolten välisen eron.
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.ft.com/content/a26fbf7e-48f8-11ea-aeb3-955839e06441
Tomi Engdahl says:
Look at How Ridiculously Wrong All the Covid-19 Models Were
https://www.targetliberty.com/2020/04/look-at-how-ridiculously-wrong-all.html
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
Tomi Engdahl says:
Apple, Google Team on Coronavirus Tracking – Sparking Privacy Fears
https://threatpost.com/apple-google-coronavirus-tracking-privacy-fears/154689/
Apple and Google announced that decentralized Bluetooth technology will soon be rolled out for coronavirus contact tracing. The privacy implications are worrisome for some.
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://ffrc.wordpress.com/2020/04/08/koronakriisi-haastaa-kaupungistumisen-paradigman/
Tomi Engdahl says:
Location data used for tracking COVID-19 has its limits, ACLU warns
The surveillance methods may not be as effective as government officials say they are.
https://www.cnet.com/news/location-data-used-for-tracking-covid-19-has-its-limits-aclu-warns/
Tomi Engdahl says:
Koronaviruksen kontaktijäljitys ja yksityisyys
https://effi.org/koronayksityisyys/
Tomi Engdahl says:
https://gnseconomics.com/2020/04/08/kaikkien-aikojen-talousromahdus/
Tomi Engdahl says:
Pitääkö pääsiäisenä lenkkeillä suojamaski kasvoilla? Suojautumistasoja on viisi ja niistä vain kaksi koskee tavallisia kansalaisia
Maski tai ei, ulkoilijan täytyy silti muistaa turvaväli muihin ihmisiin.
https://yle.fi/uutiset/3-11300787